Tuesday 22 April 2014

Pak-India Trade Potential Estimated At $18 Billion

In its study, the “Preliminary Analysis of Pakistan and India Trade and a Viable Roadmap for Trade Liberalisation”, issued on Monday, the PBC urges the government to negotiate reciprocal treatment with its Indian counterparts to achieve a level-playing field in trade on both the sides.


Of total bilateral trade potential, Pakistan’s exports could go up to $3.6 billion, while the remaining represents the India’s export potential, estimates the study.


The PBC, citing the recent talks, says that India will reduce its sensitive list to 100 select items once Pakistan grants most favoured nation (MFN) or non-discriminatory market access (NDMA) status and opens Wagah-Attari land route for all items (currently 137 items allowed).


Consequently, Pakistan will further give concessionary treatment to India along all products except items in Pakistan’s sensitive list under the Safta (South Asian free trade area) regime.


However, the study points out that Pakistan cannot benefit from the reduction in the sensitive list by India for its export potential lies in products not protected by the latter.


In fact, India’s para-tariffs and non-tariff barriers mainly restrict market access for Pakistani exporters, specifically of textile, agriculture and automobiles, it adds.


Presently, Pakistan protects its local industries through the sensitive and negative lists. But, as soon as MFN or NDMA to India becomes operative, Pakistan will abolish its negative list.


Pakistan’s sensitive list contains only a limited number of products. This will not protect some sectors, particularly agriculture, pharmaceutical and automobile, from the flood of cheaper Indian products after the free trade, according to the study.


The study recommends that the government should strengthen regulatory bodies, such as National Tariff Commission and Pakistan Standards Quality and Control Authority, to protect its local interest before the trade normalisation.The PBC says that the government should look for a level-playing field for Pakistan’s exports in the Indian market.


Source:- thenews.com.pk





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