Tuesday, 13 September 2016

Ford Pips Hyundai To Become Top Passenger Vehicle Exporter In August

 Even as it expects improvements in India sales, Ford’s export story is getting stronger as the US carmaker displaced Hyundai to become the largest passenger vehicle (PV) exporter from India in August.

However, in cumulative exports for the current fiscal, Ford India stays in the second slot.

By shipping higher number of ‘India-built’ vehicles over the past five months, Ford displaced Maruti to grab the second slot. With robust exports, its numbers even surpassed export volumes of Hyundai in August.

During the month, Ford exported 17,860 units of PVs as compared with Hyundai’s exports of 16,506 units and Maruti’s 12,131 units.

During the April-August 2016 period, Ford’s total PV exports stood at 60,249 units, an increase of 45 per cent over the previous year.

Narrowing volume

Hyundai’s exports were flat at 70,893 units during the first five-month period of this fiscal, according to the data provided by SIAM.

In the past one year, the gap in export volume between Hyundai and Ford has been narrowing.

Hyundai has been facing some challenges in some of its export destinations. Also, its domestic demand continues to rise, and hence, its share of exports has been declining.

 

Sources :thehindubusinessline.com



Indonesia To Issue Permits To Import 700,000 Cattle In 2017

Indonesia said on Tuesday it would issue permits to import 700,000 cattle for slaughter in 2017 as well as shipping in additional buffalo meat from India, as it looks to control climbing food prices.

Since coming to power in October 2014, President Joko Widodo has pursued food self-sufficiency to protect farmers, but the result has often been volatile prices and worried investors, eroding support for the government.

"This is being done to push down prices that are still high, and to prepare for demand during the Muslim fasting month in 2017," the country's economic ministry said in a statement.

The Southeast Asian nation ships in virtually all its cattle from Australia - a trade that was worth nearly $600 million in the last financial year.

Indonesia's government late last year estimated that the country would import around 700,000 head of cattle in 2016.

The country has been pushing cattle-buyers to start breeding their own livestock as part of efforts to reduce its dependence on imports.

Trade minister Enggartiasto Lukita said on Tuesday that for every five cattle imported, feedlots would need to have at least one animal for breeding purposes.

The government has also revised plans to import buffalo meat from India. It now expects to ship in 100,000 tonnes of the meat by June 2017, rather than aiming for 80,000 tonnes of such imports this year.

 

Sources :.business-standard.com
 



Wheat Scarcity Leads To Jump In Import

 There has been a phenomenal increase in the price of wheat in India in the last few months due to falling production and low procurement by government agencies  specially at a time when the price in the global market is low.

Import of the grain has increased, as that is viable in some centres in south despite 25 per cent import duty.

Initial estimates suggest wheat import this year will be 2.3 million tons which was not seen since 2009. Reports suggest if import duty is cut, import will rise to 3-4 million tons.

From April onwards, wheat prices have gone up in India by 15 per cent.
 
Trade and user industry is craving for the abolition or cut in import duty of wheat which is at 25 per cent, fresh contracts of 1 million tonne have been singed recently, said informed sources.

The superior quality Australian wheat is available at $225 per tonne and Ukrainian wheat is available at $195 per tonne.

Despite a high import duty of 25 per cent on wheat, the landed cost of imported wheat is Rs 2125 per quintal to 1850 a quintal (depending upon the quality) against the average price of Rs. 2000 per quintal of wheat liquidated by Food Corporation of India under OMSS (Open Market Sales Scheme).

In southern state wheat cost more due to higher transportation charges.

Officials in FCI informed that the demand for wheat under OMSS has been exceptionally high this year and 2 million tonnes of wheat has been sold till 8 September under the e-auction of OMSS against a minuscule 3.58 lac tonnes in the corresponding period last year.

He agreed that if the trend continues there may be difficulty in tackling the situation as demand picks up significantly during and after festival season.

The total annual sale of wheat under OMSS last year was 7 million tonnes, he informed.

The annual requirement of wheat for Public distribution system is 24.5 million tonne. The Food Corporation procured 23 million tonne this year against the estimated target of 28 million tonne. The opening stock of wheat as on April 1, 2016 was 13.85 million tonne.

The average annual requirement of wheat for PDS and OMSS (24.5 million tonne and 7 million tonne) and FCI has an estimated stock of 36.8 million tonne from April 16 to March 17.

The trade estimates predict a higher demand for imported wheat, somewhere close to a million tonne by the private millers this year FCI is hand to mouth with its wheat stocks.

"We could have imported 3-4 million tonne as the prices are at a rock bottom level in the international market had the duty been kept at 10% and not revised to 25%.

The escalation in wheat price, that has been creating holes in consumers' and millers' pocket would have averted by importing higher quantity at a lesser price", told an importer who did not wish to be quoted.

Multinational companies, flour millers and a few wheat product makers are said to be importing and have contracted for another million tons import and if duty is relaxed, imports this year is expected to be 3 to 4 million tonne.

Even at current rate Edelweiss Agri Research report puts import estimate for the current season at 2.3 million tonne and it will revise it upward if import duty is relaxed.

Ministry of agriculture's fourth advance estimate lowered crop estimate at 93.5 million tonne for when but Edelweiss Agri Research estimates, "crop at 82.64 million tonne. Trade sources puts it at 80 million tonne and USDA estimated it in August at 88 million tonne," said EAR report.

Adi Narayan Gupta, a miller from Uttar Pardesh and a senior member of Roller Flour Millers Association of India said that a relaxation in import duty may have direct implications the millers in South due to proximity to port but it will have repercussions on millers in other parts of India too as lesser demand will ease out the prices.

According to sources, 5 lac tonne of import was imported last year. This year 1 lac tonne has already been imported. Lower price in international market and supply constraints in domestic market may result into much higher exports this year.

 

Sources :.business-standard.com



Thursday, 8 September 2016

Rupee Trades Lower At 66.40 Against Us Dollar

The Indian rupee on Thursday weakened against the US dollar.

At 2pm, the home currency was trading at 66.40 per dollar, down 0.13% from its previous close of 66.37. The rupee opened at 66.47 per dollar and touched a high and a low of 66.39 and 66.49, respectively.

India’s benchmark Sensex index rose 0.24% or 68 points to 28,994.36. So far this year, it has gained 11%.

Bond yield fell in 10 out of 12 trading sessions. The 10-year bond yield was trading at 7.055% from its Wednesday’s close of 7.056%.

Yield on 6.97% 2026 bond, which is the new 10-year debt, was trading at 6.829% from its previous close of 6.824%. Bond yields and prices move in opposite directions.

The government will issue consumer price index (CPI) inflation data for August and Index of Industrial production (IIP) data for July on 12 September. Wholesale price index (WPI) inflation data for August is due on 14 September.

According to a Religare Securities report, retail inflation is set to ease to 5.5% in August from 6.1% in July as food inflation is likely to decline 150 basis points on disinflation in vegetables and pulses. WPI inflation is expected to touch a two-year high of 4.3% in August. There is limited scope for further rate cuts as of now; however, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) will continue to “ease by stealth” via open market operations.

The rupee is down 0.4% till date this year, while foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have bought $6.30 billion in equity and sold $997.2 million in debt markets.

Asian currencies were trading mixed. Malaysian ringgit was up 0.46%, Japanese yen 0.17% and Indonesian rupiah 0.12%. However, Philippines peso was down 0.47%, South Korean won 0.24%, Thai baht 0.12% and Taiwan dollar 0.11%.

The dollar index, which measures the US currency’s strength against major currencies, was trading at 94.853, down 0.10% from its previous close of 94.956.

 

Sources:.livemint.com



India Enhances Its Repute In Auto Exports

MUMBAI: India is emerging as an export base for mid-size cars, SUVs and engines as it builds on the image as a key supplier of small cars. India-made Vento sedan is one of Volkswagen's top selling models in Mexico. According to people in the know, Hyundai Motor, the biggest auto exporter from India, is considering exporting its new generation mid-size Verna, codenamed HCI, from next year. Creta SUV from Hyundai's Chennai factory has also got acceptance abroad.

Premium brands like Chrysler and Land Rover, too, are considering exporting vehicles made in India to right-hand-drive markets, said people with knowledge of plans. Ford Motor will start exports of EcoSport SUV to North America from here next year, while the SuzukiBSE 2.71 % Baleno hatchback is supplied to Japan by the company's Indian unit, Maruti SuzukiBSE 2.71 %.

With Indians increasingly opting for bigger cars and local quality standards similar to those abroad, it has become easier for manufacturers to pick models for exports from India, said Gaurav Vangaal, senior analyst for forecasting at IHS Automotive. Exports allow them to post "better operational performance domestically due to combined volumes of domestic (sales) and exports," he said.

India is already a key exporter of the likes of Hyundai's Grand i10, Ford Ka and Chevy Beat. For some global automakers, such as General Motors and Nissan Motor, exports have helped offset weak demand in the Indian market. Hyundai is looking to ship about 11,000 units of the next gen Verna from India in 2017 and take it to 70,000 by 2019-2020, said three component suppliers to the local unit of the South Korean carmaker. Indian manufacturing will ease production load on its Korean operations, allowing it to use the factories there to increase the production of Elantra and Sonata which are in demand in its home market.

"We are planning to make a new version of the Verna next year in the second half. India is one of the countries which will see increase exports of Verna," Hyundai Motor India managing director YK Koo told ET. "Volume for Verna exports is yet to be finalised, but it will be significant," he added.

The Hyundai Creta has a one- to two-month waiting period in overseas markets, Koo said. "We are exporting 5,000-6,000 units a month,the numbers of mid-size cars will go up with new model."

Apart from fully built cars, vehicle makers plan to source engines from India. Ford India is set to begin exports of 2- and 2.2-litre Panther engines from its factory at Sanand in Gujrat from 2017-18. Its plan is to produce 2 lakh engines at Sanand and export to all over the world. Panther engines will be supplementing a new range of smaller petrol engines, internally named Dragon, which will power the next gen Figo and Aspire cars. A Ford India spokesperson said as a policy, the company does not comment on speculations on products or manufacturing plans.

Exports of cars longer than 4 metres accounted for 20% of total exports of 6.5 lakh vehicles in fiscal 2016 — the share has more than doubled in three to four years. If vehicles like Toyota Etios and EcoSport are included — these are slightly smaller — mid-size segment will account for almost 30% of India's total car exports.

Experts say though the domestic market share for many MNCs has remained modest, it is the export strategy which has help them justify big capital investments and break even in India with economies of scale.

 

Sources :economictimes.indiatimes.com



Steel Sector Shines In August; Import Falls, Export And Demand Rise

NEW DELHI: August turned out to be a bright month for the over USD 100 billion Indian steel industry, with imports of the metal declining, while exports and consumption registering an upward trend.

After declining for 2 consecutive months, country's steel consumption rose, though marginally, to 6.97 million tonnes (MT) last month compared to July 2016.

Consumption in the world's third largest steel producer rose 2.7 per cent in August this year, against July, while on year-on-year basis the growth was one per cent, latest data by Steel Ministry's Joint Plant Committee (JPC) showed.

India's consumption of total finished steel saw a growth of 1.3 per cent in April-August this fiscal to 33.74 MT over the same period of last year, it added.

The demand had declined for the second-straight month in July 2016, falling over 7 per cent to 6.3 MT compared to June, whereas in June 2016, it fell 8 per cent to 6.8 MT over May.

However, on the brighter side, steel imports fell 34.5 per cent to 3.012 MT in April-August 2016-17 compared to the year-ago period, JPC data showed.

"Imports in August 2016 (0.619 MT) was down 36 per cent over August 2015 and by 2.2 per cent over July 2016. India remained a net importer of total finished steel during this period," it said.

Another silver lining for the sector was an increase in exports of the metal.

Exports of total finished steel was up 23.6 per cent in the first five months of this fiscal to 2.38 MT against the April-August period in 2015-16.

Outbound shipments in August 2016 stood at 0.68 MT, a healthy growth of 87 per cent over August 2015 and 26 per cent over July 2016.

During April-August 2016-17, crude steel production grew 7 per cent to 39.98 MT over same period of 2015-16.

Steel output in August 2016 stood at 8.18 MT, up 9.8 per cent over August 2015 and by 1.2 per cent over July 2016.

 

Sources :economictimes.indiatimes.com



Silver Imports Fell By Half In 2016 As Traders Offloaded Old Stock

After over 20,000 tonnes of imports in the last three years, silver imports nosedived in 2016 in line with gold. From January to July this year, imports fell over half and only 2,111 tonnes of silver was imported in India against 4,362 tonnes last year, lowest after 2012. Demand was low and huge import of silver by traders in past years was coming in the market as raiders and stockists were booking profit. That has also resulted in prices quoting at $1 per ounce discount in July. Now, however, discount has shrunk to 30 cents per ounce.

Chirag Thakkar, director, Amrapali Group, said that imports are quite low because “all the importers are sitting on heavy stock since past many months. Prices went up sharply this year. As a result, every importer has been struggling to clear the stocks and that is the reason even silver market is in disparity of around 30 cents per try oz”. He said that demand is still not picking up because current price levels are high, “but if prices stay at the same level, within a month we can see demand in silver”.

Silver has been a high beta commodity with prices rising and falling fast compared to gold.

Further, there's no fresh demand in the market at current price levels.

Sudheesh Nambiath, lead analyst (precious metals demand), South Asia & UAE, GFMS Thomson Reuters, explains that Indian silver imports have slumped this year largely due to a supply overhang in the domestic market, attributed to unsold inventories across the value chain and the high level of above the ground stocks at secured vaults and in private hands. He believes that the trend will continue. “We expect full-year total imports to be close to 3,500 tonnes in 2016 (which will be lowest after 2012), a drop over 44 per cent on 2015 levels. This follows a first half total of just 2,027 tonnes. In our view, we would need to see the price back below $18 an ounce for the pent-up demand to be unleashed.”

Interestingly, according to the GFMS data, in the last three decades, India has imported approximately 87,000 tonnes of silver. And the three decade average price of silver was Rs 16,447 per kg, which is two-third of the current price level. Thus, “it shouldn’t surprise when investors and consumers liquidate silver holdings at current prices or indeed exchange it against new jewellery”.

In such a scenario, only industrial demand can support the market and such demand is still quite low in India.

Globally, over half of silver is used for industrial purposes, while in India only 20 per cent is estimated to be going for industrial use.

 

Sources :business-standard.com



India Since Liberalization: A Look At Share Of Commodities In Exports

New Delhi: Twenty-five years since India’s liberalization, here’s a look at how the share of commodities in the overall exports basket has changed.

India’s trade profile has seen a significant change since the first foreign trade policy was unveiled between July 1991 and March 1992 in a series of steps by then commerce minister P. Chidambaram.

These measures gradually dismantled the quantitative restrictions on imports in the form of import licences on most products and abolished the office of the chief controller of imports and exports, replacing it with the Directorate General of Foreign Trade.

India’s peak import duties which were among the highest in the world at over 200% in 1991 were gradually brought down to 45% by 1997-98. Now the peak customs duty stands at only 10%.

The share of manufacturing in the Indian exports basket saw a nominal rise from 78% in 92-93 to 84% in 2015-16.

But there has been a marked change in the composition of India’s export basket—the share of leather, textiles and ready-made garments has fallen sharply reducing while items like engineering goods and chemical products have seen a strong rise during the same period.

Madan Sabnavis, chief economist at Care Ratings said the change in composition from traditional goods to sophisticated goods is encouraging.

“Demand for engineering and chemical products is elastic. Developed countries are importing chemical-based products like pesticides as these commodities create environmental problems during production in their own countries,” he said.

K. J Joseph, ministry of commerce chair professor at the Centre of Development Studies, Trivandrum, said India’s manufacturing exports have lagged behind due to a lack of innovation culture. “Sadly in case of India, there are reasons to believe that we are yet to evolve a vibrant innovation system at the national level. This is not to underplay the existence of certain extent of vibrancy at the level of certain sectors which also present better export performance,” he added.

The share of petroleum and crude products has also increased from 3% in 1992-93 to 12% in 2015-16 after the discovery of oil and gas reserves, especially in the Krishna-Godavari basin.

Alongside the rise in manufacturing products and petroleum products, the share of agriculture and allied product has fallen from 17% to 14% and that of ores and minerals from 4% to less than 1% during the same period.

However, the domestic value addition to the overall merchandise exports has been falling, which has caused concern. According to the Economic Survey 2014-15, the domestic value addition for overall merchandise exports fell from 85% in the 1998-99 to 71% in 2007-08, implying more import content in India’s export basket.

Rashmi Banga, economist at the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, pointed out in an article published in the Economic and Political Weekly in October 2014 that even if manufacturing output grows and exports rise, unless domestic value addition rises, there will be no commensurate production-linked gains like employment generation, technology upgradation and skill development.

“Declining value-added growth can lead to a stage where the industries will need to increase their imports of inputs but will not be able to add much value to their exports and will thus slowly hollow-out,” she wrote.

India’s share in global merchandise exports hasn’t increased much. While in 2004-05, India’s merchandise exports had a share of 0.9%, it increased to 1.6% by 2014-15.

 

Sources:.livemint.com

 



Tuesday, 30 August 2016

Indian Rupee Gains 8 Paise At 67.10 Against Us Dollar In Early Trade

Indian rupee gains 8 paise at 67.10 against US dollar in early trade
Indian rupee gained 8 paise at 67.10 in early trade (9.34 am) against the US dollar at at the Interbank Foreign Exchange (forex) market on Tuesday following selling of the American currency by banks and exporters amid firm domestic and global cues.
By: FE Online | Updated: August 30, 2016 10:02 AM  


Indian rupee vs US dollar Indian rupee gained 8 paise at 67.10 in early trade (9.34 am) against the US dollar at at the Interbank Foreign Exchange (forex) market on Tuesday following selling of the American currency by banks and exporters amid firm domestic and global cues. (Photo: Reuters)

Indian rupee gained 8 paise at 67.10 in early trade (9.34 am) against the US dollar at at the Interbank Foreign Exchange (forex) market on Tuesday following selling of the American currency by banks and exporters amid firm domestic and global cues. The local currency had opened at 67.11 and closed on Monday at 67.18 level against the US dollar. Domestic equity firm opening also supported the rupee. The BSE Sensex was trading 172.49 points up at 28,075.15, while NSE Nifty was trading 53.60 points up at 8,661.05 following firm global cues amid RBI’s latest report that said near-term growth outlook for India seems brighter than last fiscal and the economy is likely to expand at 7.6 percent in 2016-17.

Dollar weakness against other emerging market currencies also contributedto the rally. The American currency gave up gains after doubts were raised on weather US Federal Reserve really would hike interest rates as soon as September.

The rupee on Monday depreciated by 12 paise to close at 67.18 a dollar on account of strong demand for the US currency amid expectations of rate hike by the US Federal Reserve before the end of the year.

The Reserve Bank of India’s (RBI) reference rate for the dollar stood at 67.18 and for Euro stood at 75.18 on August 29, 2016. While the RBI’s reference rate for the Yen stood at 65.62, the reference rate for the Great Britain Pound (GBP) stood at 88.01.

 

Sources:financialexpress.com
 



Further Drop In Steel Imports To Help Domestic Mills Regain Lost Market Share

The twin impact of anti-dumping duty and minimum import price is likely to help steel players overcome market challenges led by domestic weak demand. While imposition of provisional anti-dumping duty (ADD) on hot-rolled and cold-rolled coils for six months will help domestic flat steel producers overcome challenges in the market caused by weak domestic demand, extension of minimum import price (MIP) on a truncated list of steel products for two months will benefit the industry, ratings agency ICRABSE 1.39 % has said in its latest sector report.

The latter will particularly benefit producers of long steel products which do not attract ADD as of now.

"India's steel imports, which fell by around 29% year-on-year (YoY) in April-June quarter of the current fiscal largely due to MIP and Safeguard Duty (SGD), are expected to reduce further in the coming months, thus helping domestic mills regain lost market share," Jayanta Roy, senior vice-president, ICRA said.

Domestic hot-rolled coil (HRC) prices witnessed a drop in July 2016 on account of weak demand and subdued Chinese export prices. However, after the imposition of ADD in August 2016, HRC prices have increased by Rs. 1,500/tonne and are expected to remain buoyant in the near term as domestic HRC prices are still cheaper than landed cost of Chinese import offers by about 13%.

However, steel prices are unlikely to increase significantly from the current levels unless demand growth strengthens, ICRA said given a marginal demand growth of 0.4% in Q1 FY2017 and concern linked to overcapacity in the domestic market. Given the scenario, an expected revival in rural demand following a normal monsoon after two years, and a likely rise in discretionary consumption after the 7th Pay Commission payouts, remain critical for an improvement in domestic steel consumption in the second half of FY2017, the report added.

 

Sources:economictimes.indiatimes.com



Businessline Twenty Years Ago Today: Sugar Export To Be Decanalised

 The United Front Government has decided to decanalise sugar exports, breaking the monopoly of the Indian Sugar and General Industries Export Import Corporation (ISIGEC) which was the sole canalising agency until now Parliament’s approval will be sought shortly to amend the Sugar Export Promotion Act (1958) The decision to allow several players to export sugar by amending the SEPA Act has been taken by the Union Cabinet. The Food Ministry, which piloted the proposal for decanalisation, will forward a draft amendment to the SEPA to the Law Ministry for clearance.

Hind Lever pays 60% interim

Hindustan Lever Ltd (HLL) has announced an interim dividend of 60 per cent. It had declared an interim dividend of 50 per cent in the previous year. The company has recorded a 37 per cent jump in net sales at Rs 2,207.27 crores for the half year ended June 30, 1996 compared with Rs. 1,610 crores in the corresponding period of the previous year. According to a press release, the company has recorded a profit after tax (before extraordinary items) of Rs 147 89 crores, an increase of 40.1 per cent Profit before tax for the period was Rs. 23853 crores.

ICICI tells nominees to police corporates

The ICICI has told its nominees on company boards to act against managements which do not perform and adhere to ‘best’ corporate practices. In what signals an attempt to raise the standards of corporate governance in India, where the financial institutions have large equity holdings, ICICI has told its nominees to closely monitor the working of the company and also ensure that promoters follow the mandatory procedures at board meetings.

 

Sources;thehindubusinessline.com



Indian Oil Corp Raises Oil Import From Iran To 5 Mt For Fy'17

 Indian Oil Corp, the nation's biggest oil firm, has raised crude oil import from Iran to four fold and has cleared most of the past payments as sanctions against the Persian Gulf nation were eased.

"We have contracted to import 5 million tonnes (MT)of crude oil from Iran in 2016-17, up from 1.2 MT,"  IOC Director (Finance) A K Sharma said here.

India has steadily raised crude oil imports from Iran after US sanctions were lifted in January this year. Iran today is India's fourth biggest crude oil supplier.

Iran, which was India's second biggest supplier of crude oil after Saudi Arabia till 2010-11, had been relegated to 7th place in 2013-14 and 2014-15 out of the 50-odd nations India sources its crude oil from.

But with the lifting of sanctions in January this year, crude oil imports have steadily climbed. India imported 12.7 MT of crude oil in 2015-16, up from 11 MT in the previous two fiscals.

That made it 6th largest supplier of oil to India.

In April-June this year, India bought 5 MT of crude oil from Iran, making it the fourth largest supplier just a shade behind Venezuela which exported 5.2 MT.

Iran had in 2009-10 supplied 21.2 MT which came down to 18.5 MT in 2010-11 and to 18.1 MT in the year after.

Sharma said imports from Iran were going exactly in line with the plans. "Month-wise lifting is in line with the 5 MT contracted volume," he said.

IOC Director (Refineries) Sanjiv Singh said the company had paid $510 million out of the total outstanding of $621 million due to Iran in past oil dues.

Sanctions had blocked payment routes and dues had accumulated over the past couple of years.

After accounting for the exchange variations, the total outstanding due is only $55 million now, he said.

Iraq this year has overtaken Saudi Arabia as India's top oil exporter. It sold 11 MT of crude oil to India during April-June, higher than 10 MT sourced from Saudi Arabia.

Saudi Arabia has been India's top supplier of crude oil — selling 35 MT of oil in 2014-15 and 40.04 MT in 2015-16.

During the first three months of current fiscal, India imported 53.2 MT of crude oil, 65 per cent of which came from the volatile Middle East region.

India imports about 80 per cent of its oil needs.

 

Sources;business-standard.com



Cai Projects 33.60 Million Bales Cotton Production For 2016-17

 A favourable monsoon across the country has resulted in an increase in productivity of cotton despite a 10% fall in area under cultivation for the year 2016-17. However, according to the first projection report by Cotton Association of India (CAI), cotton production is being estimated at 33.60 million bales (A bale of 170 kg) for the year 2016-17, marginally lower from 33.77 million bales production in 2015-16.

The projected balance sheet drawn by the association has estimated total cotton supply for the cotton year 2016-17 at 40 million bales as against 42 million bales last year. Cotton year starts from October and end in September every year in India.

"Area under cotton crop is expected to be lower by 10 per cent in 2016-17. However, productivity is likely to be higher during the 2016-17 season due to the better weather conditions across all cotton growing regions in India. Therefore, the crop for the next cotton season is expected to be similar to the cotton crop for the current season," said Dhiren Sheth, president of CAI.

As per the agriculture department of India, cotton sowing has been done on an area of around 10.15 million hectares as on August 19, 2016, down by 8 per cent from 11.02 million hectares in corresponding period of 2015.

CAI in the projection report has estimated domestic consumption at 30.80 million bales same as in current year.

However, despite no significant change in domestic production and consumption of cotton, the association has predicted higher import of two million bales in next cotton year as against 1.5 million bales in this year.

Cotton production in the central zone of India which includes Gujarat, Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh has been estimated at 19.50 million bales as against 18.47 million bales. On the other hand, production estimates for north and south zone stand at 4.2 million bales and 9.3 million bales, respectively. Last year, while north zone had seen production of around four million bales, south zone had seen around 10.75 million bales.

According to CAI, as on July 31, 2016, 33.40 million bales of cotton have been arrived in the markets in current season.

 

Sources;.business-standard.com



Monday, 29 August 2016

Rupee Weakens To A One-Week Low Against Us Dollar

The Indian rupee on Monday weakened to a one-week low against the US dollar, tracking the losses in its Asian peers after comments by US Federal Reserve speakers on last Friday raised the possibility of a September rate hike.

Traders are also cautious ahead of the gross domestic product (GDP) data for the June quarter and fiscal deficit data for July on 31 August. According to Bloomberg analyst estimates, GDP may be at 7.5% from 7.9% in the March quarter.

The home currency closed at 67.18 per dollar—a level last seen on 22 August, down 0.18% from its previous close of 67.06. The rupee opened at 67.14 per dollar and touched a low of 67.21, a level last seen on 22 August.

The 10-year bond yield closed at 7.123%, compared with its Friday’s close of 7.129%. Bond yields and prices move in opposite directions.

India’s benchmark Sensex index rose 0.43% or 120.41 points to closed at 27,902.66. So far this year, it has gained 6.83%.

Most Asian currencies markets slipped after Fed chair Janet Yellen indicated that an interest rate increase remains on the cards for this year.

The case for a rate hike has strengthened in recent months, with a lot of new jobs being created, and economic growth is looking likely to continue at a moderate pace, Yellen said in a speech at the Fed’s annual monetary policy conference in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, on Friday.

While Yellen did not give guidance on what the central bank needs to see before raising rates, she said the Fed already thinks it is close to meeting its goals of maximum employment and stable prices. She described consumer spending as “solid” but noted that business investment was weak and exports hurt by a strong dollar, Reuters reported.

South Korean won was down 1%, Malaysian ringgit 0.7%, Indonesian rupiah 0.42%, Japanese yen 0.34%,Taiwan dollar 0.22%, Philippines peso 0.18%, China renminbi fell 0.17% and Singapore dollar 0.13%. However, Thai Baht was up 0.18% and China offshore was up 0.04%.

The rupee is down 1.5% till date this year, while foreign institutional investors (FIIs) have bought $5.78 billion in equity and sold $1.19 billion in debt markets.

The dollar index, which measures the US currency’s strength against major currencies, was trading at 95.7, up 0.14% from its previous close of 95.566.

 

Sources :.livemint.com



Higher Domestic Prices Dent Cotton Exports From India

 Domestic cotton prices are on the upside since April, due to expectation of weak production. This has affected exports, mainly to Pakistan. In the current cotton year (it runs from October of one year to September of the next), about 37 per cent of exports have been to Pakistan. However, with prices moving up to Rs 50,000 a candy (356 kg), this is being hit, says the trade.

“China is the major buyer for Indian cotton but this year's demand was not so good. Against it, due to crop failure, Pakistan became a major importer. However, if our prices were lower, our overall export might be higher than it has,” said J Thulasidharan, president of the Indian Cotton Federation.


As per reports, Pakistan is looking at other options such as the US to import cotton. Even Indian experts believe that. So far, India has exported about 2.5 million bales to Pakistan only out of the total exports of 6.8 million bales.

"During June and July this year, Indian cotton prices were higher than international prices. While buyers are getting cheaper cotton from others why one should buy at the higher rates. However, all depends on demand. There was a good demand from Pakistan this year but after prices gone up, this has affected the export from India," said Naveen Mathur, associate director of commodities and currencies business at Angel Broking.

Because of high cotton prices in domestic markets, many mills from South India are importing from West Africa. According to industry sources, India has imported about two million bales of cotton during this year so far.

Thulasidharan said: "Higher domestic price also increased the cotton import this year as stock size in India is less. This has forced the domestic mills to import cotton. So far India has imported about two million bales and it may increase further.

 

Sources ;business-standard.com



India's First Textile City Likely To Come Up In Ap

India’s first integrated textiles city is likely to come up in Andhra Pradesh. The central government has already initiated the process of identifying land, technology and expertise for the same.

According to sources, Textiles Minister Smiriti Irani has spoken to Andhra Pradesh Chief Minister N Chandra Babu Naidu for providing land and other facilities.


With Naidu’s Telugu Desam Party being an ally of the ruling National Democratic Alliance at the Centre, the proposal, mooted by the NITI Aayog, is likely to be accepted.

Officials said Irani, along with Naidu and top officials from NITI Aayog, would visit China to get a first hand information on the working and structure of the proposed mega textile city.

The city would be largely catering to the export market and build a brand for Indian textiles.

China is a pioneer in building such mega textiles cities. The China Textile City in Keqiao district is one such example.

Founded in the 1980s, China Textile City is the first national professional textile market spread over a construction area of 3.65 million square metres with 29,000 companies managing 40,000 kinds of products.

The textiles sector is the largest employer in the country, employing 32 million people and is critical to Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s plans to create jobs in the country.

It announced a special package for the sector in June aimed at improving India’s competitiveness, which would lead to greater production. The reforms, in turn, are expected to generate 10 million new jobs in the textiles sector in three years.

The package is estimated to cost Rs 6,000 crore, which includes funds for additional five per cent duty drawback for the garments sub-sector.

The government will also bear the cost of employers’ contribution under the Employees’ Provident Fund scheme for new employees of the garment sector earning less than Rs 15,000 a month for the first three years.

The government is also working on a revamped national textiles policy, which is expected to be placed before the Cabinet soon. The draft policy focuses on achieving $300 billion exports and 35 million new jobs by 2024-25.

India exported $36.25 billion worth of textiles and related goods in 2015-16 — a 2.4 per cent decline from 2014-15.

 

 

Sources :business-standard.com



India Aims For Zero Import By 2020, 37 Mobile Manufacturing Units Set Up In Last 1 Year

India has attracted investment from 37 mobile manufacturing companies in last one year that have generated 40,000 direct jobs and 1.25 lakh indirect employment, IT Minister Ravi Shankar Prasad said today

"We decided to make India a big hub of electronics manufacturing. In the last one year, 37 new mobile manufacturing units have come," Prasad said after inaugurating government-funded 'Electropreneur Park'

He said that 11 crore mobile phones have been made in the country in last one year compared to 6 crore earlier

"We have given jobs to forty-thousand people and 1.25 lakh indirect jobs," Prasad said

Chinese companies like Gionee and Xiaomi are making their handsets at Foxconn plant in Andhra Pradesh. Domestic companies such as Karbonn, Lava, Micromax, Intex, Jivi, iTel, and MTech too have set up their manufacturing plants in the country

As per industry sources, Chinese company LeEco will start mobile manufacturing unit on Tuesday

Prasad said that besides manufacturing electronics product in India, product designing is also important

He said that government has provided Rs 10,000 crore under Electronics Development Fund to support new entrepreneurs in the field of electronics
×

The Electropreneur Park (EP), which was innaugurated on Saturday in South Campus of Delhi University, is an incubation centre set up with government funds of around Rs 21 crore to support incubation of up to 50 companies

Also Read: India's share in global smartphone market may double in 3 years: Prasad

Set-up in collaboration with academia and industry represented by Indian Electronics and Semiconductor Association, the Park will focus on creation of intellectual property rights and product development to increase domestic manufacturing of electronics items

"India imports electronic goods of over Rs 3 lakh crore

By 2020 government aims to bring down import to zero. The Electropreneur Park started today is a step in that direction," Minister of State for IT and Law P P Choudhary said

Ministry of Electronics and IT has selected six start-up firms that will develop products at this incubation centre

"6 out of 176 start-ups have been selected which means they have capability of developing good quality products and selection of six more are in pipeline," MEITY Additional Secretary Ajay Kumar said.

 

Sources ;indiatoday.intoday



Refinery Wars: China, India Win; S. Korea, Japan, Singapore Lose

There is little doubt that China’s surging exports of refined fuels have cut profit margins for Asia’s refiners, but the pain is unlikely to be shared equally across all the region’s exporters of oil products.

Given the scarcity of detailed official data on oil product imports and exports among many Asian countries, it’s nigh impossible to build a completely accurate picture of the likely winners and losers.

However, detailed data is provided by China on the export destinations of its product exports, and Australia, the region’s biggest importer of refined fuels, also gives a country-by-country breakdown of its imports.

The overall picture for Asia’s refiners is that profit margins appear to have shifted structurally lower as a result of China’s massive exports of diesel and petrol.

China’s exports of 370,000 barrels per day (bpd) of diesel in July were 181.8% higher than the same month last year, and year-to-date exports are up a staggering 223%.

Its petrol exports are also up sharply, rising 84.3% in the first seven months from a year ago.

The Chinese customs data does give clues as to where the additional fuel exports are heading, with gasoline shipments to Malaysia rising 490% in the first seven months of the year for example.

For diesel, Chinese exports to the Philippines are up an astounding 2,084% to the equivalent of about 45,000 bpd, and those to Australia have jumped 1,049%.

But these figures must be treated with some caution as they reflect only direct exports to those countries, and not cargoes shipped through another country.

Chinese customs figures show a 134.7% rise on diesel exports to Singapore in the first seven months of the year and an 119% increase in shipments of gasoline.

Singapore is the region’s main trading hub and the Chinese exports to the island state are almost certain to be re-exported to other countries.

Australia shows losers

For this reason, looking at the Australian statistics is useful, as it breaks down fuel imports by country of origin.

Australia reports data in megalitres and converting this to barrels per day using the BP conversion factors shows that China exported about 54,000 bpd of refined products in June, the latest month for which statistics are available.

This was almost 50% higher than the average 37,800 bpd Australia imported from China in the year ended 30 June.

As China’s exports to Australia have risen, other countries have seen theirs decline.

South Korea’s total product exports to Australia were about 135,800 bpd in June, down from an average of 167,800 bpd in 2015-16, while Singapore’s dropped to 86,795 bpd from 135,700 bpd and Japan’s from 121,700 bpd to 86,000 bpd.

Looking specifically at diesel, the main product that Australia imports given its reliance on the fuel for powering the country’s mining industry, and a similar pattern emerges.

Australia bought 37,608 bpd of diesel from China in June alone, versus an average 10,511 bpd for the year to 30 June.

Shipments from South Korea to Australia dropped to 46,963 bpd in June from the 2015-16 average of 71,496 bpd, Singapore declined to 52,731 bpd from 80,444 bpd and Japan to 64,707 bpd from 68,000 bpd.

While Australia’s three traditional suppliers of refined products all appear to be losing market share, it’s not just China that is gaining.

Australia bought 47,900 bpd of diesel from India in June, up from the 2015-16 average of 30,000 bpd.

With both China and India gaining increased shares of Australia’s open and competitive refined fuels market, this would seem to indicate that they are more competitive than refineries in South Korea, Japan and Singapore.

Given both India and China have the most modern and presumably cost-efficient refineries in the region, it makes sense that they’re able to be more competitive.

China’s overbuilding of refinery capacity will continue to act as a disruptor in Asia’s fuel markets, making profits harder to come by and forcing refiners to focus on cost-cutting and flexibility in marketing in order to prosper. Reuters.

 

Sources :.livemint.com



Tuesday, 23 August 2016

To Make India Diamond Global Trading Hub, Commin Eyes Booster Shot For First-Ever Snz

The commerce ministry is pitching for a reasonable and presumptive tax structure for the diamond industry — roughly similar to the one in Belgium — in the special notified zone (SNZ) to help India emerge as a global trading hub in the precious stones, reports Banikinkar Pattanayak in New Delhi.

Though the revenue department will have the final say on the tax rate, the commerce ministry will likely favour a presumptive tax on turnover of 2-3%. Such a move, the ministry feels, is vital to provide a leg-up to the country’s first SNZ for diamond in Mumbai.

The zone hasn’t witnessed any trading activity since its inauguration in December last year due to a “convoluted” tax structure, a senior official told FE. This could be part of the commerce ministry’s pre-Budget recommendations, to be submitted to the finance ministry.

Currently, as per the benign assessment procedure (BAP) introduced in 2007-08, net profit for the diamond business is presumed at 6 % for the purpose of computing corporate income tax. However, the industry’s contention is that 6% is too high, as the usual profit margin in the business is only 1-3%. By contrast, the effective presumptive tax for the diamond industry in Belgium stands at a meagre 0.06-0.09% of turnover, while that in Israel is in the range of 0.29% to 0.33%.

Even a task group under former director general of foreign trade Anup Pujari had conceded that only 2% of the industry players might be able to meet the threshold of 6%. This is because actual net profit in diamond manufacturing is in the range of 1.5-4.5% and in diamond trading in the range of 1-3%, the task group had said in a report in 2013.

Also, there can be huge differences in yields and in the gross margins of various companies, as the processes and the yield vary, depending on the rough diamonds procured.

Such high tax, along with a plethora of documents required to be submitted for complying with the tax structure, have encouraged domestic companies to import rough diamonds from places like Antwerp or Dubai and export them after polishing.

India had set up the special notified zone in Mumbai for diamond to remove middlemen and encourage overseas diamond mining companies to open their offices at designated places to sell rough diamonds directly to Indian manufacturers. This was also to help relatively smaller players to cut down on costs on foreign travels and setting up offices in places like Antwerp or even Dubai to source diamonds.

The success of the SNZ is important as although over 90% of the world’s rough diamonds are polished in India, domestic manufacturers still have to source the commodity from Belgium due to a benign tax regime there.

 

Sources:.financialexpress.com



Today, Kwid Is Biggest Make In India Story: Renault India's Md Sumit Sawhney

 Renault India's managing director Sumit Sawhney says the response to the Kwid mini car has exceeded expectations. The French carmaker is now going all out to tap the growing Indian market with one new car every year for the next four-five years. Renault, he said, is in an "investment mode" as it continues to invest in new products and Kwid variants. In a meeting held last week with ET reporters, Sawhney said India needs better free trade agreements (FTAs) with Europe, UK and Asean countries. Edited excerpts:

How has the journey of Kwid been so far?
The mini-car segment is the toughest segment and very hard to break. Nobody has succeeded in the past, but in the last 10 months, we have managed to garner 15 per cent share and we are selling about 9,000 units a month. We knew entry into this segment cannot be half hearted. So we created a platform for emerging markets ground up and for the first time in our 118-year history, a global car was launched outside of Europe, that too in India. So far, it has exceeded our internal expectations.

What was the recipe for the success?
We cannot succeed if we don't bring innovation. This is not just limited to design, product, features or technology. One of the biggest innovations for us was on cost. That is why everything about Kwid was built ground up. We wanted to sell a car at a certain price, so we went ahead with 98 per cent localisation. Nobody has ever done this before in India. Barring some electronics parts, all major parts are locally manufactured. Today, Kwid is the biggest 'Make in India' story. We invested a lot in basics, if you want to succeed in a country like India, you cannot succeed by luck. You need the infrastructure. We have invested in a big plant, a very big technology centre, which employs 5,000 people, two design centres in India and a global parts distribution centre in Pune. We got the basics right. For us it is a global car designed and developed out of India.

What are your future plans and projections?
Our aim is to launch one new car every year. We have been able to come up with a new CMFA platform and launched one car with 98 per cent localisation. We can recreate things in the sub-4-metre segment. We have understood the localisation game and can go beyond four metres also. A platform can easily take 4-5 bodies of new styles. I already have 75,000 customers for the Kwid. Before we close the year, we will have 1,25,000 customers on the road.

How important is India for Renault global?
This year, India is among the top 10 markets for Renault worldwide (in terms of volumes). The world's top three car markets will be China, the US and India. Renault is new to China, and is not there in the US and we are in a good position in India. So India remains very, very important. Chairman Carlos Ghosn reviews all the India programmes himself.

Are cab aggregators a target segment?
At this point no. We have enough demand from the personal owner segment for Kwid, which is our volume driver. But for the overall industry, it definitely is a target segment.

How difficult is it to satisfy the Indian customer?
The Indian customer is socially very aware. They want the latest and the best at the lowest cost. That is a combination which is very tough to create. If we see the same markets, 7-8 years back, the life cycle of a product was 5-6 years, but now you have to bring in changes every 2-3 years. Otherwise, the customer will bypass you. So the second point is consumer loyalty is very low in our country because he is always looking forward to a value proposition. The consumer is never wrong, we will have to keep pace with his expectations. If we have to bring something in India, it has to be innovative, it has to be a game changer. First it was the Renault Duster, now it is the Kwid. There are many more to follow.

What about Kwid's profitability?
In small cars nobody makes money till the time you have localised. Maruti SuzukiBSE -0.10 % is making money, so is Hyundai, so it was important for us that we make money on what we launch. That was also one of the criteria for pushing for 98 per cent localisation, so that we are not exposed to too much of forex risk, because that is what kills us. As for small cars, without going into specifics, we are slightly ahead of our internal plans on profitability. So is Renault overall making money? My answer will be no, as we are in an investment mode. We are still investing in Kwid and in our future products.

What is India's potential as an export hub?
We need better FTAs with Europe, UK and the ASEAN countries. Australia has stopped manufacturing cars and everything they buy is imported into the country. Similar is the story in the middle-east. Africa is another big opportunity. Also, India has the potential to be a big base for parts exports. Our chunk of parts sourced for global operations from India is growing month on month. Today we are making big number of cars in Romania, Turkey, and Morocco. A lot of our cars to Europe come from Morocco. With good policies we can explore such opportunities out of India also. There is so much capacity lying here in our country that if we have favourable FTAs, it can be deployed for exports. That wouldn't even need significant investments.

 

Sources ;economictimes.indiatimes.com